As my father liked to say, never assume. I am not privy to any other information that is available, but I do follow as much of that as possible.
I grew up in the horse racing world and as I like to say, there are ten winners before the race and one after it.
We all have our stories to tell and angles to play and I don't have a horse in this race, other than the crooks and moral prostitutes running this country are breaking it, while they run their scams around the rest of the world.
Admittedly though, as a horse race, I'd put my money on Russia. She might not be the fastest, but this is a distance race and she's won more of those than she's lost.
The West, on the other hand, is better at starting wars, than finishing them.
Past performance.